UK is┬áhaving a referendum. The voting was closed, and as the first results are coming in, it seems that the ,,Leave,, option is leading.
Professor Michael Thrasher, the Sky News number cruncher, says that as things stand it looks as if leave is heading for an 12-point lead.
Arron Banks, the Leave.EU co-founded, thinks leave has won.
Chris Hanretty on his University of East Anglia blog has updated his forecast. Based on 33 results in, he expects leave to win by five points.
So far there are 42 results out of 382, and┬áhere are the numbers:
- Remain: 17
- Leave: 25
- Remain: 1,145,433 (46.3%)
- Leave: 1,326,686 (53.7%)
Leave has a lead of 7% in the 42 areas that have reported results so far. The biggest contributor to the leave result overall has been Sunderland, with 6.3% of the leave vote. Meanwhile, the biggest contributor to remain has been Newcastle with 5.8% of the remain vote.
The places to watch that are expected to report in the next hour are Castle Point, which is anticipated to lean towards leave, and Crawley in West Sussex which is a general election bellwether and the split between leave and remain should be telling. After 3am London time we can expect large London areas Camden and Islington to report, which are predicted to lean heavily towards remain.
From the very beginning, Leave was first, as they passed first the one million vote.
If you were a UK citizen, what would your vote be?
Lets us know!